Variety's Awards Circuit is home to the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars from Film Awards Editor Clayton Davis. Following Academy Awards history, buzz, news, reviews and sources, the Oscar predictions are updated regularly with the current year's contenders in all categories. Variety's Awards Circuit Prediction schedule consists of four phases, running all year long: Draft, Pre-Season, Regular Season and Post Season. Eligibility calendar and dates of awards will determine how long each phase lasts and will be displayed next to revision date.

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2021 Oscars Predictions:

Best Actor

Updated: Feb. 11, 2021

Awards Commentary:

Riz Ahmed (“Sound of Metal”) still leads in the critics’ awards with Chadwick Boseman (“Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom”) right behind. Delroy Lindo (“Da 5 Bloods”) took big blows with misses at the Golden Globes and the SAG awards.