Memorial Day weekend is set to be a big one at the box office, with both Disney’s Lilo & Stitch, and Paramount’s Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning on track for massive openings. However, even if The Final Reckoning promises to be the last Mission: Impossible movie, it seems unlikely to pose a considerable threat to Disney’s latest.

Despite the fact that there have been eight Mission: Impossible movies, the films haven’t always proven to be blockbusters on the domestic side. Mission: Impossible – Fallout remains the highest-grossing domestic release, with a $220 million gross off of a $61 million opening. The Final Reckoning seems poised to make about what that one did this weekend, with it looking like it’ll gross $60 million, which is better than what its predecessor, Dead Reckoning, did two years ago, with $54 million. The Memorial Day weekend will help boost its grosses somewhat, but...